Hansen Intel Report

Weather & Earthquakes

Last updated 21h ago
South Jordan3-day forecast · avg = 1976-2025, rec = 1928-present

Mon, Oct 19

Overcast

3% precip

72°F

High· avg 63°F

rec 82°F '58

49°F

Low· avg 40°F

rec 26°F '76

Rain0.00"

avg 0.06", rec 0.66" '21

Snow0.00"

avg 0.01", rec 0.00" '28

Tue, Oct 20

Overcast

5% precip

73°F

High· avg 62°F

rec 81°F '47

53°F

Low· avg 39°F

rec 24°F '32

Rain0.00"

avg 0.07", rec 1.14" '04

Snow0.00"

avg 0.01", rec 2.50" '96

Wed, Oct 21

Light drizzle

4% precip

75°F

High· avg 62°F

rec 79°F '67

58°F

Low· avg 39°F

rec 25°F '96

Rain0.00"

avg 0.03", rec 0.40" '43

Snow0.00"

avg 0.01", rec 2.00" '61

Records for October 19Salt Lake Valley, 1928-present

Record High

82°F

set 1958

Record Low

26°F

set 1976

Record Rain

0.66"

set 2021

Record Snow

0.00"

set 1928

Top Weather & Earthquake Stories5 stories from around the world
  1. #1

    Hurricane Trudy brings heavy rain and strong winds to west-central Mexico

    3 sources

    The National Hurricane Center's 12 a.m. CST Sunday intermediate advisory said Hurricane Trudy was bringing heavy rains and strong winds to portions of the region. The 9 p.m. CST Saturday advisory said Trudy continued to affect portions of west-central Mexico with heavy rain, and the accompanying discussion noted changes in the convection in the storm's inner core over the previous several hours.

  2. #2

    Thousands ordered to evacuate as Bryson Fire threatens Malibu

    1 source

    Thousands of people in California's Malibu beach area were ordered to evacuate as a wildfire that broke out this week threatened the area, UPI reported via Gephardt Daily. Firefighters on Friday battled the Bryson Fire, which was 17% contained, according to NBC News.

  3. #3

    Tropical Storm Rachel drenches Utah with rain, waterfalls and early snow

    2 sources

    Tropical Storm Rachel brought Utah plenty of rain, along with ocean birds, KUER reported. St. George News reported that Rachel drenched Southern Utah, producing slot canyon waterfalls and early snow, as more rain approached.

  4. #4

    Magnitude 5.7 earthquake strikes near Khuzdar, Pakistan

    2 sources

    A magnitude 5.7 earthquake hit 48 km west-northwest of Khuzdar, Pakistan, at 05:06 UTC Saturday at a shallow depth of 10 km. USGS rated the PAGER alert yellow with ShakeMap intensity VII, and GDACS estimated about 2,000 people in areas of intensity VII or higher.

  5. #5

    NOAA winter outlook leaves Utah snowfall uncertain as El Niño strengthens

    1 source

    Utah's coming winter could be shaped by a strong El Niño, but NOAA's latest seasonal outlook does not point to a clear precipitation outcome for the state, according to TownLift.

Winter Outlookupdated 2d ago
El Niño Advisory: strong-to-very strong El Niño likely through Jan-Mar 2027 (>83% chance)

NOAA status: The Climate Prediction Center's October 8 discussion keeps an El Niño Advisory in place. El Niño is still strengthening, and NOAA puts the chance of a strong-to-very strong event lasting through January-March 2027 at greater than 83%.

What the ocean is doing: Niño-3.4 reached +2.1°C last month, with +3.0°C in Niño-3 and +3.9°C in Niño-1+2. Parts of the eastern equatorial Pacific ran more than +4.0°C above normal, and subsurface water at depth was more than +10.0°C warm. NOAA gives a 54% chance for September-November, 83% for October-December, and 70% for November-January that this becomes a historic event, stronger than any since 1950 (+2.5°C or more).

What that usually means for Utah: This part is general climate tendency, not a NOAA forecast for Utah. Strong El Niño winters tend to steer the storm track toward the southern tier of the U.S. Southern Utah often trends wetter, while northern Utah and the Wasatch are a toss-up and can come in near or below normal on snowpack. NOAA itself says impacts are more likely with an event this strong but are not guaranteed.

Practical impact: Plan for a winter that could tilt wet in the south and uncertain up north. Watch CPC's seasonal outlooks for actual probabilities, and don't bank on a big Wasatch snow year or a dry one yet. The next ENSO discussion is due November 12, 2026.

Grounded in NOAA CPC's ENSO Diagnostic Discussion, issued 8 October 2026 (source). General climatological tendency, not a day-specific forecast.

Top 5 Largest Earthquakesworldwide, last 7 days
  1. #1
    Oct 15, 2026, 9:35 PM MT· 135 km deep
  2. #2
    Oct 13, 2026, 6:23 AM MT· 10 km deep
  3. #3
    Oct 12, 2026, 11:44 PM MT· 10 km deep
  4. #4
    Oct 12, 2026, 5:20 PM MT· 11 km deep
  5. #5
    Oct 13, 2026, 12:45 PM MT· 20.8 km deep
Earthquake Frequency: A 100-Year LookUSGS catalog counts, 1926-2025

Are earthquakes increasing? Not the big ones. The jump is in small quakes we can now detect.

M7.0+ (major)

236 → 302

1926-45 vs. 2006-25 · +28%

M6.0+ (strong)

2,140 → 2,977

1926-45 vs. 2006-25 · +39%

M4.5+ (moderate)

4,436 → 147,818

1931-50 vs. 2006-25 · roughly 33x

USGS: “The ComCat earthquake catalog contains an increasing number of earthquakes in recent years -- not because there are more earthquakes, but because there are more seismic instruments and they are able to record more earthquakes.”

Counts queried directly from USGS's earthquake catalog (earthquake.usgs.gov/fdsnws/event/1/count) on 2026-10-05. Explanation quoted from USGS's own FAQ.